- Akankah Trump mengampuni Stefan Brodie sebelum 2027?20¢20%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Donald Brodie sebelum 2027?16¢16%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Ryan Salame sebelum 2027?13¢13%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Steve Bannon sebelum 2027?8¢8%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Keonne Rodriguez sebelum 2027?8¢8%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Matt Gaetz sebelum 2027?7¢7%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Daniel Penny sebelum 2027?6¢6%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Elizabeth Holmes sebelum 2027?6¢6%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Roger Ver sebelum 2027?5¢5%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Bob Menendez sebelum 2027?5¢5%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Diddy sebelum 2027?5¢5%
- Akankah Trump mengampuni Joe Exotic atas "The Tiger King" sebelum 2027?5¢5%
Trump has already granted clemency to more than 1,700 individuals since January 2025, including a blanket pardon and commutations for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants on his first day in office, plus targeted grants to political allies such as Rudy Giuliani, Sidney Powell, and Mark Meadows, along with figures like Changpeng Zhao and George Santos. Recent developments include on-the-spot pardons issued at rallies, signals that administration officials may receive protection before the end of the term, and donor-linked grants that have drawn congressional scrutiny and investigations into influence by cabinet members. Patterns show heavy emphasis on Republican supporters, MAGA-aligned individuals, and cases involving campaign finance or fraud convictions, with restitution often waived. With the 2026 midterms approaching and ongoing reports of applications bypassing traditional DOJ processes, trader focus centers on additional grants to donors, officials, or high-profile cases that could occur before year-end.
Aturan
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan sebagai "Ya" jika individu yang tercantum menerima pengampunan presiden, pengurangan hukuman, atau penangguhan pelaksanaan hukuman dari Donald Trump antara 17 November 2025 dan 31 Desember 2026, 23.59 ET. Jika tidak, pasar ini akan diselesaikan dengan hasil "Tidak". Sumber utama untuk menentukan apakah individu tersebut diampuni atau tidak adalah informasi resmi dari pemerintah AS; namun, konsensus dari pemberitaan yang kredibel juga akan digunakan.
Terjemahan mesin. Jika ada perselisihan, teks asli yang berlaku.