Justin Gaethje holds the undisputed UFC lightweight title after his fourth-round TKO of Ilia Topuria in June 2026 at UFC Freedom 250, and the 37-year-old has confirmed he will not compete again in 2026 while openly weighing retirement. This leaves no title bout scheduled before the market resolves, anchoring trader consensus around his continued reign despite his advanced age and limited recent activity. Arman Tsarukyan leads the division in wins but lacks an immediate path to a fight, while other ranked contenders like Charles Oliveira and Paddy Pimblett focus on non-title bouts. A late-year return or retirement announcement could shift probabilities, yet the current absence of any booked defense sustains the heavy favoritism.
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan berdasarkan siapa juara resmi divisi Lightweight UFC pada 31 Desember 2026 pukul 12.00 ET. Hanya juara resmi divisi UFC yang akan dihitung. Juara interim tidak akan dihitung. Jika sabuk yang bersangkutan kosong pada waktu pemeriksaan pasar ini, atau karena alasan lain tidak ada juara di divisi yang ditentukan, pasar ini akan diselesaikan sebagai “Lainnya”. Sumber utama untuk penyelesaian pasar ini adalah informasi resmi dari UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
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