- Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?8¢
- Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?84¢
- Will USD be less than 1.7M Iranian rials on September 30?2¢
- Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on September 30?<1¢
- Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on September 30?<1¢
- Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on September 30?2¢
- Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on September 30?2¢
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Persistent US sanctions pressure, including the late-August rollout of "Operation Economic Outcast" targeting Iranian entities and evasion networks, continues to constrain foreign exchange access and oil revenues, driving free-market depreciation of the rial toward and beyond 2.1 million per dollar. Elevated inflation near 66 percent and limited central bank intervention capacity have compounded the trend, with the currency crossing key psychological thresholds in recent weeks. Trader consensus at 85 percent for a rate above 2.2 million by month-end reflects these sustained structural constraints, while modest probabilities for narrower bands around 2.1–2.2 million acknowledge potential short-term stabilization efforts ahead of the September resolution window.