- Will André Moura win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?21¢
- Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?37¢
- Will Eduardo Amorim win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?5¢
- Will Paulinho da União Tur win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?<1¢
- Will Renatinha win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?<1¢
- Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?33¢
- Will Coronel Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?<1¢
- Will Delegado Alessandro win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?6¢
- Will Edvaldo win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?<1¢
- Will Iran Barbosa win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?1¢
- Will Rodrigo Valadares win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?2¢
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Recent polling for Sergipe’s October 4 Senate election shows a fragmented field for the two seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho tied near the top in late-August surveys and André Moura close behind. High undecided shares, often exceeding 20 percent even in stimulated polls, sustain the tight contest among the eleven registered candidates. Party coalitions, regional bases, and the requirement to select two distinct names further disperse support. Trader pricing reflects André David’s modest lead while assigning meaningful probability to several contenders, consistent with the limited time remaining for campaigns to consolidate preferences ahead of voting.