- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?12¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?34¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?34¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?20¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?5¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1?1¢
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?5¢
The closely matched market-implied odds between the 40-60M (34.5%) and 60-80M (34.6%) view brackets for the Grand Theft Auto VI launch trailer reflect intense trader debate over first-week performance on YouTube and across platforms. Rockstar's October 15 release of the 90-second in-game footage, timed 35 days before the November 19 launch, taps into unmatched franchise hype and prior trailer records, yet its shorter format and position after the extended look create uncertainty around sustained momentum versus initial viral spikes. Key differentiators include algorithmic promotion, the Justice soundtrack tie-in, and competition from social media clips, with historical data from Trailer 2's massive cross-platform results informing the balanced sentiment. View counts will likely clarify quickly as daily metrics emerge.
Aturan
This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).