- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on September 3?41¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 3?6¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 3?49¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 92°F or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Miami's September 3 low temperature centers on persistent high humidity and a tropical air mass with dew points near 78°F, which suppresses nocturnal cooling through reduced radiative heat loss. Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models project overnight lows in the upper 70s amid southeast winds of 5–10 mph and partial cloud cover from afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with climatological September averages of 76–78°F at Miami International Airport. The closely matched 78–79°F (48.5%) and 76–77°F (41%) outcomes reflect uncertainty in exact storm timing and cloud persistence, which can trap heat or allow brief clearer periods for modest drops. Historical data show rare excursions below 74°F without a frontal passage, while current conditions lack any such cooling influence. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine resolution thresholds.