- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on September 4?7¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 56-57°F on September 4?14¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on September 4?10¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on September 4?4¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on September 4?41¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 4?89¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 4?<1¢
- Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marine layer advection and radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies are positioning the lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 4 near the 64–65 °F range, matching the market’s dominant 88.5 % implied probability. National Weather Service and private-model guidance consistently forecast overnight lows in the lower to mid-60s at coastal stations, consistent with the September climatological normal of 64.5 °F at Los Angeles International Airport. Recent days have shown minimums of 64–67 °F amid weak onshore flow and no significant synoptic disturbance, reinforcing trader consensus. Official resolution will rely on verified station observations, with any unexpected marine-layer strengthening or clearing the main variables that could shift the final reading.