- Apakah Israel dan Suriah akan menormalisasi hubungan mereka paling lambat 31 Desember 2026?8¢8%
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa stated on October 29 that Damascus is actively pursuing a US-involved security agreement with Israel as a potential gateway to broader diplomatic understandings, while insisting on respect for Syria’s claim to the Golan Heights and a return to the 1974 disengagement lines. Ongoing Israeli military operations and a buffer zone in southern Syria have prompted repeated Damascus condemnations and calls for international pressure, even as US-mediated talks in August explored de-escalation measures. Israel’s October 27 parliamentary elections, which could produce a less hard-line government, introduce potential shifts in approach toward stabilizing the northern border and addressing shared concerns over Iran and regional actors. These security frictions, territorial disputes, and external mediation efforts remain the central variables shaping prospects for any formal normalization.
Aturan
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan sebagai "Ya" jika Israel dan Syria secara resmi mengumumkan pembentukan hubungan diplomatik paling lambat 31 Desember 2026, 23.59 ET. Jika tidak, pasar ini akan diselesaikan dengan hasil "Tidak". Sumber utama untuk penyelesaian pasar ini adalah informasi resmi dari Israel dan Syria, tetapi konsensus dari pemberitaan tepercaya juga dapat digunakan.
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