Trader consensus on the "No" outcome at 99.5% reflects the entrenched scientific framework and cultural dismissal of flat Earth ideas as fringe conspiracy theories in mainstream media and education. Overwhelming evidence from space agencies, global navigation systems, and astronomical observations has solidified the spherical model, with no credible recent developments challenging this consensus. Historical patterns show such claims persist in niche online communities but fail to gain traction in broader public discourse or industry narratives. Realistic upset scenarios would require extraordinary, unverified revelations contradicting established geophysical data, though entertainment portrayals often highlight the persistence of fringe beliefs for dramatic effect.
Pasar ini akan diselesaikan dengan hasil "Ya" jika bukti konklusif bahwa bumi datar menjadi publik paling lambat 31 Desember 2026, 23.59 ET. Jika tidak, pasar ini akan diselesaikan dengan hasil "Tidak". Sumber penyelesaian pasar ini adalah konsensus dari pemberitaan yang kredibel.
Terjemahan mesin. Jika ada perselisihan, teks asli yang berlaku.