- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 7?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 7?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 7?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 7?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 7?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional outputs, indicate a maximum temperature of 27–29°C for Paris on September 7, 2026, under a mild westerly flow with variable cloud cover and limited precipitation. This consensus positions 28°C and 29°C as the leading market outcomes, reflecting trader assessment of afternoon peak heating amid partly cloudy skies that may temper insolation. Recent runs show slight warming from prior days but no strong ridge or heat advection to push values to 30°C or higher, consistent with early-September climatology where daily highs average near 23°C yet can exceed it under favorable conditions. Key variables include exact timing of maximum insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and any late-day showers that could cap the peak. Final station observations from Météo-France will resolve the market once the calendar day closes.