- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 6?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 6?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 6?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 6?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 6?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 6?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological centers indicate Moscow will experience cloudy conditions with widespread rain and possible thunderstorms on September 6, limiting daytime warming and supporting a maximum temperature near 15°C. Westerly winds and high humidity from an incoming frontal system are expected to keep highs in the 14–16°C range, consistent with model consensus and below the long-term September average high of 18°C. Updated runs show limited potential for brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 17°C, while persistent precipitation reduces odds of exceeding 18°C. Traders are weighting the 15°C outcome most heavily based on these near-term atmospheric patterns ahead of final observational data.