- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 7?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 7?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 7?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 7?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 7?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts call for a 27–32 °C range on 7 September under light winds, mainly cloudy skies, and intermittent showers with sunny intervals. Persistent cloud cover and shower timing will determine whether peak readings reach or exceed 32 °C, while any prolonged sunshine or delayed rainfall could push values slightly higher. Weak pressure gradients limit advection, leaving local heating and evaporative cooling from rain as the dominant variables. Recent model consensus and climatological norms for early September support this narrow band, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 31 °C and 32 °C given the forecast uncertainty in convective timing.