- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 6?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 6?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 6?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 6?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a maximum temperature near 30–31°C on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and light variable winds that limit daytime heating under high humidity. September climatology features typical highs around 30.1°C, with current conditions reflecting a post-monsoon transition and residual moisture from recent thunderstorms that capped prior days near 30–32°C. Trader consensus favors 31°C at 40.5% implied probability over 30°C or 32°C due to the narrow forecast range and potential for brief sunny breaks to push readings slightly higher. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24 hours will refine exact resolution against official station measurements.