- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 6°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on September 6?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on September 6?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on September 6?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 6?61¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on September 6?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on September 6?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Cool Antarctic air advection under high pressure is anchoring trader expectations for a modest daytime peak in Buenos Aires on September 6. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and international models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) show a southerly flow maintaining temperatures near or below seasonal norms, with forecast maxima clustered between 9–12 °C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds shifting northeast later in the day. The market’s strong tilt toward 11 °C (61.5 % implied) reflects ensemble consensus and recent model consistency around that level, while the secondary 10 °C price captures downside risk from stronger radiative cooling or delayed warming. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at central Buenos Aires stations, with any late-day clearing or wind shift offering the main remaining uncertainty before sunset.