- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 3?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 3?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 3?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 3?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Turkish Meteorological Service and multiple models converge on a September 3 high of 30–31 °C in Ankara under clear skies, light northerly flow, and stable high pressure, with afternoon peaks near 14–17 local time. This setup favors strong diurnal heating without cloud cover or moisture to limit insolation, placing the market-implied 30 °C (58 %) and 31 °C (35 %) outcomes in the lead. Early-September climatology for the region centers near 27–28 °C, yet the current pattern supports modestly above-normal values; any deviation would require unexpected afternoon cloud build-up or a shift in steering winds. Updated model runs and station observations through the day will refine resolution probabilities.