- Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?100¢100%
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?100¢100%
- Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?100¢100%
- Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?100¢100%
- Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?100¢100%
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?0¢0%
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?0¢0%
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?0¢0%
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026?0¢0%
- Will GPT-6 be released by August 7, 2026?0¢0%
- Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?0¢0%
- Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026? 0¢0%
OpenAI’s release of GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, immediately shifted trader sentiment by confirming the model’s arrival just over a year after the GPT-5 family. The new large language model delivers state-of-the-art performance in computer use, browser navigation, software engineering, and cybersecurity benchmarks such as ExploitBench at 100 percent, while incorporating enhanced alignment safeguards after prior incidents. Rollout began with limited enterprise partners in the Daybreak program before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, and Enterprise subscribers plus the API, underscoring OpenAI’s cautious approach to high-capability agents. Competitive pressure from models like Claude Opus 5 and internal scaling at the Stargate facility helped accelerate development, with leadership framing Astra as a potential AGI milestone. Upcoming API pricing details and broader availability this week remain key near-term catalysts for any lingering resolution questions.
Aturan
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.