- Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?100¢
- Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
- Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0¢
Augusto Cury holds a near-certain position in trader consensus for third place in Brazil’s October 4, 2026 first-round presidential vote because multiple September and early October polls placed the Avante candidate consistently ahead of rivals such as Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado, with support in the 3–10 percent range driven by gains among independents and voters seeking a centrist alternative to polarization. His profile as a psychiatrist and author helped consolidate that backing in the final weeks. With over 99 percent of ballots now counted, Cury sits at approximately 2.9 percent, behind Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, confirming the outcome under Tribunal Superior Eleitoral rules. Only an unprecedented late swing in remaining tallies or a formal recount altering valid-vote rankings could shift the result.
Aturan
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).