- Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?3¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?11¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?17¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?13¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?9¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?7¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?18¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?17¢
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?6¢
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?1¢
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Anthropic’s Series H round closed in May 2026 at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion, followed by a confidential June IPO filing and July run-rate revenue disclosures exceeding $65 billion. These milestones, alongside forward ARR projections near $140 billion by mid-2027, underpin trader-implied closing market caps clustered between $1.75 trillion and $2.5 trillion. The closely matched probabilities across those buckets reflect uncertainty over public-market reception, comparable precedent from SpaceX’s post-IPO volatility, and competitive positioning versus OpenAI’s $852 billion valuation. Key swing factors include October 2026 listing timing, dual-class share structure, credit facility size, and broader AI equity sentiment amid elevated capital-spending requirements.