- Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?89¢
- Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?11¢
- Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?10¢
- Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?5¢
- Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?5¢
- Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?16¢
- Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?7¢
- Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?87¢
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
France's 2027 presidential election, set for April 18 and May 2, features an unusually crowded field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility for a third term. Marine Le Pen secured eligibility via a July 2026 appeals ruling that reduced her ineligibility period, enabling her Rassemblement National candidacy announcement, though further appeals and party choices between her and Jordan Bardella remain factors. Jean-Luc Mélenchon has gained in recent polls for the left, while Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, Bruno Retailleau, and Raphaël Glucksmann (who announced a socialist primary bid in late August) fragment the center-right and center-left. A October 2026 united-left primary, ongoing disinformation probes, and the need for 500 sponsorships ahead of the Conseil constitutionnel's final list shape ballot uncertainty.