The 2026/27 UEFA Nations League A league phase reaches its conclusion in November after four matchdays left Turkey, Serbia, and Czechia winless on zero points, with Turkey holding the worst goal difference at -9. Only the two lowest-ranked fourth-placed teams face automatic relegation to League B under the transitional format, while the two best third-placed sides stay in League A and others enter A/B play-offs against League B runners-up. Recent results show dominant performances from group leaders Spain, Portugal, France, and the Netherlands, contrasted with heavy defeats for the bottom sides. Upcoming Matchdays 5 and 6 fixtures, including Italy vs France, England vs Croatia, Norway vs Wales, and Portugal vs Denmark, will finalize the third- and fourth-place rankings and determine which teams contest survival play-offs in March 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from UEFA Nations League A at the conclusion of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in UEFA Nations League A for the 2028-29 UEFA Nations League through their final standing in the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League A league phase, via promotion/relegation play-off defeat, or by any other official decision recognized by UEFA. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.