- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?5¢5 %
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?20¢20 %
- 2 %4,9 %December 31Promet 1,6 mil. $
- 19,5 %June 30, 2027Promet 234,9 tis. $
Justice Samuel Alito, the 76-year-old associate justice, has repeatedly stated in October and November 2026 interviews that he intends to remain on the Supreme Court through the current term ending in late June 2027, a position unchanged by the Democratic Senate gains in the recent midterms. Those results limit prospects for Senate confirmation of any successor under President Trump after January. Alito has described retirement as an annual consideration at his age but confirmed he ruled it out for this term after weighing personal health and contributions, while rejecting pressure tied to the confirmation window. Traders assessing short-term announcement probabilities weigh these direct statements against the justice’s health status and any future court developments that could prompt reconsideration before the term concludes.
Pravila
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.