- Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?4¢4 %
- Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?93¢93 %
- Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Dan Hooker be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Mateusz Gamrot be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Rafael Fiziev be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Renato Moicano be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?<1¢<1 %
- 1 %4,1 %Arman TsarukyanPromet 58,6 tis. $
- 2 %93,1 %Justin GaethjePromet 63,1 tis. $
- 0,2 %Paddy PimblettPromet 532,6 tis. $
Justin Gaethje holds the UFC lightweight title after a fourth-round corner stoppage of Ilia Topuria at UFC Freedom 250 in June 2026, following his interim-title win over Paddy Pimblett earlier that year. With no lightweight title bout scheduled before December 31 and the division’s top contenders (including Arman Tsarukyan, Charles Oliveira, and a recovering Topuria) set for other matchups or later returns, the current champion faces no immediate threat to his reign in the remaining weeks of 2026. Trader consensus at 94.9% reflects this straightforward timeline: Gaethje remains the titleholder absent an unforeseen vacancy. Topuria’s planned early-2027 comeback and the manager’s firm rejection of an immediate rematch further reduce near-term volatility. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include a late-announced Gaethje injury or retirement, though none have surfaced in official reports or recent rankings.
Pravila
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).