- Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?56¢56 %
- Will the House impeach Donald Trump by June 30, 2027?48¢48 %
- Will the House impeach Todd Blanche by June 30, 2027?28¢28 %
- Will the House impeach Kash Patel by June 30, 2027?28¢28 %
- Will the House impeach Robert F. Kennedy Jr. by June 30, 2027?23¢23 %
- Will the House impeach Marco Rubio by June 30, 2027?23¢23 %
- Will the House impeach Russ Vought by June 30, 2027?22¢22 %
- Will the House impeach Linda McMahon by June 30, 2027?19¢19 %
56,5 %Pete Hegseth - Secretary of DefensePromet 2,3 tis. $
4 %48 %Donald Trump - PresidentPromet 615,8 $
20 %28,5 %Todd Blanche - Attorney GeneralPromet 1,1 $
20 %28 %Kash Patel - FBI DirectorPromet 52,6 $
26 %22,5 %Robert F. Kennedy Jr. - Secretary of Health and Human Services
22 %22,5 %Marco Rubio - Secretary of State
26 %22 %Russ Vought - OMB Director
1 %18,5 %Linda McMahon - Secretary of EducationPromet 2,9 $
Democratic gains in the November 2026 midterms delivered House and Senate majorities, shifting control to Democrats for the 120th Congress convening in January 2027. This development has elevated trader focus on potential House votes to approve articles of impeachment against President Trump or cabinet officials such as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, consistent with prior statements from Republican leaders anticipating investigations and proceedings. Historical precedent shows the House can advance impeachment by simple majority while Senate conviction requires a two-thirds vote unlikely under current margins. Scheduled committee work, oversight hearings, and any new legislative or executive actions in early 2027 represent key catalysts that could influence outcomes through the June 30, 2027 resolution window.
Pravila
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. House of Representatives adopts one or more articles of impeachment against the specified individual in connection with their specified role between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the U.S. Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to "Yes". If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office before any article of impeachment is adopted, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. House of Representatives, including the Office of the Clerk and Congress.gov; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.