- Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?94¢94 %
- Will Huang Shih-chieh win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?7¢7 %
- Will Perng Shaw-jiin win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?<1¢<1 %
1 %93,5 %Chang San-chengPromet 29,4 tis. $
7,5 %Huang Shih-chiehPromet 20,5 tis. $
Incumbent KMT Mayor Chang San-cheng holds a commanding lead in the November 28 Taoyuan mayoral election, reflected in the 93% trader consensus on Polymarket. Recent polls show him ahead by more than 20 points over DPP nominee Huang Shih-chieh, driven by 58% voter satisfaction with his record on infrastructure such as MRT expansions, the Aerotropolis project, and science park development, plus stronger name recognition. Huang’s campaign has emphasized support for new immigrants and cross-cultural services, but limited visibility and the short remaining timeline constrain any shift. Ballot numbers were drawn in late October, with the race entering its final stretch amid stable KMT positioning. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include unexpected turnout swings or late-breaking local issues before election day.
Pravila
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taoyuan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).