- Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?66¢66 %
- Will Denis Villeneuve win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?16¢16 %
- Will Lance Oppenheim win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?9¢9 %
- Will Javier Calvo or Javier Ambrossi win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?9¢9 %
- Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?2¢2 %
- Will Phil Lord or Christopher Miller win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?1¢1 %
- Will Martin McDonagh win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Joel Coen win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Alejandro G. Iñárritu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Peter Farrelly win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Cristian Mungiu win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- Will Steven Spielberg win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?<1¢<1 %
- 4 %65,5 %Christopher NolanPromet 30,5 tis. $
- 1 %15,5 %Denis VilleneuvePromet 13,8 tis. $
- 1 %9,4 %Lance OppenheimPromet 2,3 tis. $
1 %9 %Javier Calvo or Javier AmbrossiPromet 2,3 tis. $- 1 %1,8 %Olivia WildePromet 1,4 tis. $
- 1 %1,2 %Phil Lord or Christopher MillerPromet 1,5 tis. $
- 1 %0,5 %Martin McDonaghPromet 1,2 tis. $
0,4 %Joel CoenPromet 315,7 $- 1 %0,3 %Alejandro G. IñárrituPromet 2,8 tis. $
- 0,3 %Peter FarrellyPromet 1,4 tis. $
0,3 %Cristian MungiuPromet 944 $- 0,2 %Steven SpielbergPromet 1,1 tis. $
Christopher Nolan leads the 2027 Best Director market at 66% implied probability thanks to the critical and commercial dominance of his epic The Odyssey, which has grossed over $1.8 billion since its July release while earning widespread praise for its IMAX-scale visuals and narrative ambition. Academy voters have already shown strong support for Nolan’s recent work, and Universal’s official campaign—launching this month with high-profile screenings and Q&As—reinforces his frontrunner status despite the historical rarity of consecutive directing wins. The field remains contested, with La Bola Negra from Javier Ambrossi and Javier Calvo, Denis Villeneuve’s Dune: Part Three, Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine, and Olivia Wilde’s The Invite generating precursor buzz that could influence guild nominations and late momentum. Traders are watching how international voting trends and box-office trajectories shape the race through early 2027.
Pravila
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. Where an option lists more than one director, if one of the listed directors wins individually, or both listed options win jointly, that option will resolve to "Yes". If only one of the jointly listed directors is a joint winner with another individual (e.g., tied with a director from another option), only the winning listed director's last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If both jointly listed directors win alongside one or more directors not listed in that option, all winning listed directors last names will be considered for the purposes of alphabetical ordering. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.