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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
AfD maintains a commanding lead in the September 6, 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election, with late August and early September polls from Infratest dimap, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen, and INSA placing the party at 40-43 percent—roughly double its 2021 result—while the CDU trails at 22-23 percent and smaller parties hover near or below the five-percent threshold. This consistent positioning in the proportional representation system positions AfD to secure the largest seat share, as vote fragmentation among other parties reduces their effective totals. Trader consensus on the outcome reflects the absence of major late-campaign shifts capable of altering the ranking in the final days before voting. A narrow polling miss driven by unusually high turnout among non-AfD voters or last-minute developments could still affect final seat allocation, though current evidence shows limited scope for such reversal.