- क्या अगला रूसी राज्य ड्यूमा चुनाव में न्यू पीपल्स (एनएल) 35 से कम सीटें जीतेंगे?100¢100%
- क्या नेव पीपल (एनएल) अगले रूसी स्टेट ड्यूमा चुनाव में 35 से 44 सीटें जीतेंगे?0¢0%
- क्या न्यू पीपल (एनएल) अगला रूसी स्टेट ड्यूमा चुनाव में 45 से 54 सीटें जीतेंगे?0¢0%
- क्या न्यू पीपल (एनएल) अगले रूसी स्टेट ड्यूमा चुनाव में 55 से 64 सीटों के बीच जीतेंगे?0¢0%
- क्या न्यू पीपल (एनएल) अगले रूसी राज्य ड्यूमा चुनाव में 65 से 74 सीटें जीतेंगे?0¢0%
- क्या न्यू पीपल (एनएल) अगले रूसी स्टेट ड्यूमा चुनाव में 85 या उससे अधिक सीटें जीतेंगे?0¢0%
- क्या New People (NL) अगले रूसी स्टेट ड्यूमा चुनाव में 75 से 84 सीटों के बीच जीतेंगे?0¢0%
New People’s projected seat total in Russia’s September 2026 State Duma election remains firmly below 35, reflecting the party’s roughly 8% share of the party-list vote and zero single-mandate district wins in preliminary Central Election Commission results. The mixed electoral system awards half the 450 seats through single-member constituencies that United Russia has dominated, while New People’s support concentrates among urban and creative-class voters without sufficient breadth for constituency victories. Historical precedent from its 2021 debut and the party’s status within the managed multiparty system further constrain gains. Trader consensus aligns with these outcomes, though modest upward adjustments remain possible if other parties fall below the 5% threshold and trigger seat redistribution.
नियम
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by New People (NL) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election. If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.