- क्या 2026 में कोई फेड दर कटौती नहीं होगी?87¢
- क्या 2026 में 1 फेड दर कटौती होगी?10¢
- क्या 2026 में फेड की 2 दर कटौतियाँ होंगी?3¢
- क्या 2026 में 3 फेड रेट कट्स होंगे?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में 4 फेड दर कटौती होंगी?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में फेड की 5 बार दरों में कटौती होगी?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में फेड द्वारा 6 बार दरों में कटौती होगी?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में 7 फेड रेट कट होंगे?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में फेड द्वारा 8 बार दरों में कटौती होगी?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में फेड की 9 बार दर कटौती होगी?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में 10 फेड दर कटौती होंगी?<1¢
- क्या 2026 में 11 फेड रेट कट होंगे?<1¢
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions. For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each). This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question. Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut. The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target, recently reported near 3.4–3.5% year-over-year, combined with a resilient labor market (unemployment near 4.1–4.2%) and solid economic growth, has driven the strong market-implied probability of zero federal funds rate cuts in 2026. The July FOMC statement highlighted supply shocks in energy and other sectors, prompting a 9-3 vote to hold the target range at 3.50–3.75% with three dissents favoring a hike. June dot-plot medians pointed to a 3.75–4.00% year-end rate, while futures pricing and analyst forecasts increasingly anticipate on-hold policy or modest tightening through year-end rather than easing. The September FOMC meeting remains the next key catalyst for any shift in these probabilities.