This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources like AccuWeather project a daily high near 32°C on September 9 under partly cloudy conditions with scattered showers possible in the afternoon. This aligns with early September climatology for the subtropical region, where average highs hover around 31°C amid high humidity and light easterly winds. Recent observations show stable temperatures in the 30–34°C range over the prior days without strong frontal systems or typhoon influences to drive extremes. Model consensus supports 31–33°C outcomes as most probable, though small forecast revisions on cloud cover or precipitation timing could nudge the peak slightly lower or higher before resolution.