- क्या शंघाई में 14 अक्टूबर को अधिकतम तापमान 17°C या उससे कम रहेगा?<1¢
- क्या शंघाई में 14 अक्टूबर को अधिकतम तापमान 18°C होगा?<1¢
- क्या शंघाई में 14 अक्टूबर को अधिकतम तापमान 19°C रहेगा?<1¢
- क्या शंघाई में 14 अक्टूबर को अधिकतम तापमान 20°C होगा?<1¢
- क्या 14 अक्टूबर को शंघाई में अधिकतम तापमान 21°C होगा?<1¢
- क्या 14 अक्टूबर को शंघाई में अधिकतम तापमान 22°C होगा?<1¢
- क्या 14 अक्टूबर को शंघाई में अधिकतम तापमान 23°C रहेगा?<1¢
- क्या शंघाई में 14 अक्टूबर को अधिकतम तापमान 24°C होगा?>99¢
- क्या 14 अक्टूबर को शंघाई में अधिकतम तापमान 25°C होगा?<1¢
- क्या 14 अक्टूबर को शंघाई में अधिकतम तापमान 26°C रहेगा?<1¢
- क्या शंघाई में 14 अक्टूबर को अधिकतम तापमान 27°C या उससे अधिक होगा?<1¢
Forecast model consensus and official meteorological guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration have locked in a daily maximum near 24°C for Shanghai on October 14, 2026. Multiple runs show surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 18°C under mostly cloudy to overcast skies, with light northeasterly winds limiting mixing and preventing stronger afternoon heating. This aligns with typical mid-October climatology for the region, where highs average 22–26°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Trader positioning at 100% implied probability for exactly 24°C reflects the narrow range across ensemble outputs and real-time station observations. Only an unforecasted late-day clearing or localized urban heat island spike could push readings outside this band before resolution.
नियम
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.