- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or below on September 3?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 3?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 3?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 3?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a highest temperature in Paris on September 3 most likely between 26–28°C under stable high pressure and moderate westerly flow, with partly cloudy skies limiting peak heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 27°C as the mode, slightly above the long-term average high of 23.3°C for the date, amid dry conditions and dew points supporting modest diurnal rise. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with minimal risk of extremes given current steering patterns and no significant advection of warmer air masses. Updated model runs and observational data through tomorrow morning will provide the final inputs for resolution.