- Xi Jinping sera-t-il hors du pouvoir avant 2027 ?5¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Xi Jinping’s consolidated authority within the Chinese Communist Party, reinforced by sustained anti-corruption purges across military and civilian ranks and the absence of designated successors or internal challenges, underpins the 95% trader consensus against his removal before 2027. Recent months show continued leadership in party events, personnel appointments, and policy forums, with the 21st Party Congress slated for late 2027 as the next structured opportunity for major shifts. The market reflects expectations of continuity through year-end 2026. While improbable, scenarios such as a sudden health crisis, major undisclosed scandal, or unprecedented factional realignment could still alter the outcome before the resolution deadline.