- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 31 août et le 6 septembre 2026 ?88¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 7 et le 13 septembre 2026 ?5¢
- La sortie du modèle Astra d’OpenAI aura-t-elle lieu entre le 14 et le 20 septembre 2026 ?4¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 21 et le 27 septembre 2026 ?5¢
- Le modèle Astra d'OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 28 septembre et le 4 octobre 2026 ?<1¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 5 et le 11 octobre 2026 ?<1¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 12 et le 18 octobre 2026 ?<1¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 19 et le 25 octobre 2026 ?<1¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI sera-t-il publié entre le 26 octobre et le 1er novembre 2026 ?<1¢
- Le modèle Astra d’OpenAI ne sera-t-il pas publié d’ici le 1er novembre 2026 ?<1¢
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed “Astra,” describing an internal version of Astra as its “next major model.” You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/. This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which OpenAI releases "Astra" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, and that model is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting. Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that its Astra large language model has reached the company’s highest “Critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, after weeks of added safeguards and monitoring, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward an imminent release. The company stated it believes risks are now sufficiently minimized for launch, plans limited early access for testers, and will restrict the model’s most advanced exploit-generation capabilities at first, with broader defensive use via its Daybreak Blue program to follow. Recent delays tied to the Hugging Face incident and competitive timing after rival model drops have reinforced expectations of availability this week, while the lack of a precise date leaves only slim probability for any later window.