Quand le Rhin reviendra-t-il à des niveaux normaux ?
MétéoCatastrophes naturellesAllemagneEuropeClimat et scienceSécheresse
Date de début
2026-09-06
Date de fin
2026-11-01
Volume 24h
$9K
Volume total
$11K
  • Le Rhin reviendra-t-il à des niveaux normaux avant le 15 septembre 2026 ?
  • Le Rhin reviendra-t-il à ses niveaux normaux entre le 15 et le 30 septembre 2026 ?22¢
  • Le Rhin reviendra-t-il à des niveaux normaux entre le 1er octobre et le 31 octobre 2026 ?37¢
  • Le Rhin ne reviendra-t-il pas à des niveaux normaux avant le 1er novembre 2026 ?30¢

This market will resolve according to the date (Berlin time) when the water level at the Kaub gauge (station 25700100) on the Rhine River first reaches or exceeds 77 centimeters, as reported by the German Federal Waterways and Shipping Administration (WSV) via PegelOnline. A reading of 77 centimeters or higher is the equivalent water level (Gleichwertiger Wasserstand, GlW) for Kaub, the low-water reference mark below which shipping becomes structurally disrupted, and defines "normal levels" for this market. The resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 77 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 77 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 77 centimeters for any period. If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) are available on the resolution source, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." If readings for timestamps on or after November 1, 2026 (Berlin time) have not been recorded on the resolution source by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM Berlin time, and no reading at or above 77 centimeters has been recorded for a timestamp before November 1, 2026 (Berlin time), this market will resolve to "No return before November 1, 2026." The resolution source for this market will be PegelOnline (https://www.pegelonline.wsv.de/gast/stammdaten?pegelnr=25700100).

Quand le Rhin reviendra-t-il à des niveaux normaux ?