- Le vol d'essai 14 du Starship de SpaceX sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 30 septembre ?100¢100 %
- Le Super Heavy du vol d'essai 14 de SpaceX Starship va-t-il exploser ?100¢100 %
- Le Starship du vol d'essai 14 de SpaceX réussira-t-il un amerrissage réussi ?100¢100 %
- Le 14e essai en vol du Starship de SpaceX sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 31 octobre ?100¢100 %
- Le vol d'essai 14 du Starship de SpaceX sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 28 septembre ?100¢100 %
- Le vol d'essai 14 de SpaceX Starship sera-t-il lancé avant le 29 septembre ?100¢100 %
- Les baguettes attraperont-elles le Starship lors du vol d'essai 14 de SpaceX Starship ?0¢0 %
- Le vol d'essai 14 de SpaceX Starship sera-t-il lancé avant le 31 août ?0¢0 %
- Le vol d'essai 14 du Starship de SpaceX sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 15 septembre ?0¢0 %
- Les baguettes attraperont-elles le propulseur Superheavy lors du test en vol 14 de SpaceX Starship ?0¢0 %
- Le vol d'essai 14 de SpaceX Starship sera-t-il lancé avant le 19 septembre ?0¢0 %
- Le test en vol 14 de SpaceX Starship sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 26 septembre ?0¢0 %
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14.
SpaceX achieved a major milestone with Starship Flight 14 on September 28, 2026, when the vehicle completed its first orbital insertion after liftoff from Starbase, Texas, following FAA licensing the prior day. The upper stage deployed 26 operational Starlink V3 satellites—marking the first revenue-generating payload—then executed a deorbit burn and controlled splashdown in the Pacific despite an ascent engine issue that prompted an abbreviated mission. The Super Heavy booster also landed successfully in the Gulf of Mexico. Traders are pricing high probabilities for near-term launch and splashdown resolutions based on this demonstrated orbital capability, heat shield performance data, and progress toward reusable operations, with attention now shifting to Flight 15 timelines and potential booster catch attempts.
Règles
If the 14th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.