- Octobre 2026 sera-t-il le mois d'octobre le plus chaud jamais enregistré ?86¢
- Octobre 2026 sera-t-il le deuxième plus chaud jamais enregistré ?3¢
- Octobre 2026 sera-t-il le 3e plus chaud jamais enregistré ?11¢
- Octobre 2026 sera-t-il le 4e ou moins chaud jamais enregistré ?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for October 2026 versus the data points available for all other Octobers on record. Note: If October 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column for the relevant month (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for October 2026 is provided by NASA by the last day of the following month, 11:59:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.