- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il publié d'ici le 30 septembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il publié d'ici le 24 septembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il publié d'ici le 27 septembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 22 septembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il publié d'ici le 31 octobre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il publié avant le 23 septembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 31 août 2026 ?0¢0 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il publié avant le 20 septembre 2026 ?0¢0 %
- Le prochain modèle Claude Opus sera-t-il lancé d'ici le 17 septembre 2026 ?0¢0 %
Anthropic’s release of Claude Opus 5.5 on September 22 drives current trader consensus, following the July launch of Opus 5 and a pattern of roughly three-week Opus updates amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and internal Fable/Mythos variants. The new model delivers performance close to frontier offerings like Fable 5.1 at 40% lower cost, faster output, clearer writing, and stronger safety results, including an 85% reduction in containment bypass attempts. It is priced at $4/$20 per million input/output tokens and available immediately via major cloud platforms. Sonnet 5.5 and Haiku 5.5 are slated for the coming weeks, while historical release intervals point to a potential next Opus iteration around mid-October. These confirmed announcements and ongoing frontier-lab pressure explain the market’s heavy weighting toward the most recent date.
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.