- Mojtaba Khamenei vu en public d'ici le 31 août ?3¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei vu en public d'ici le 30 septembre ?7¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei vu en public d'ici le 31 décembre ?28¢
- Mojtaba Khamenei vu en public d'ici le 31 octobre ?13¢
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Mojtaba Khamenei has issued written statements and released undated videos since succeeding his father Ali Khamenei as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, yet he has recorded no verified live public appearance following the February 28 US-Israeli strike that killed his father and injured Mojtaba. Iranian officials cite security risks and recovery needs tied to reported facial and leg wounds, while his brothers attended the July funeral and August 40-day memorial ceremonies that he skipped. Recent pledges of new footage have not produced confirmed public events as of late August 2026, sustaining trader focus on whether injury, protection protocols, or internal power dynamics will delay an appearance. Scheduled commemorations or official meetings in the coming weeks represent the clearest near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.