- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 26°C ou moins le 8 septembre ?5¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 27°C le 8 septembre ?10¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 28°C le 8 septembre ?22¢
- La température la plus élevée à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 29°C le 8 septembre ?28¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 30°C le 8 septembre ?22¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 31°C le 8 septembre ?11¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 32°C le 8 septembre ?2¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 33°C le 8 septembre ?1¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 34°C le 8 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 35°C le 8 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Tokyo sera-t-elle de 36°C ou plus le 8 septembre ?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological agencies indicate Tokyo's September 8 maximum will likely fall between 27–30°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow associated with a lingering frontal system. High humidity and precipitation reduce peak solar insolation while limiting nocturnal cooling, keeping daytime readings close to seasonal norms near 29°C. Model consensus shows modest spread in timing and intensity of convective activity, which can shift the exact hourly peak by 1–2°C depending on whether heavier rain arrives before or after the typical afternoon maximum. Trader positioning around 28–30°C reflects this narrow uncertainty band, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers outside the 26–31°C envelope given current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns. Updated model runs and Japan Meteorological Agency guidance through the evening will further refine resolution criteria.