- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 16°C ou moins le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Jinan sera-t-elle de 17°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 18°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 19°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Jinan sera-t-elle de 20°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 21°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Jinan sera-t-elle de 22°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 23°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 24°C le 3 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan sera-t-elle de 25°C le 3 septembre ?1¢
- La température maximale à Jinan atteindra-t-elle 26°C ou plus le 3 septembre ?99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources project clear, sunny conditions with a maximum temperature near 30°C for Jinan on September 3, underpinned by stable high-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds that limit cloud cover and moisture. This strong model consensus, consistent across multiple runs and aligned with climatological norms for early September in Shandong, underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 98% for 26°C or higher. The primary catalyst remains the absence of any incoming frontal systems or significant atmospheric instability. Realistic challenges to this outcome would require an unanticipated rapid shift in steering patterns or localized convective development, though such changes appear improbable within the final 24-hour window before resolution.