- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 22°C ou moins le 7 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 23°C le 7 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 24°C le 7 septembre ?5¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 25°C le 7 septembre ?62¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 26°C le 7 septembre ?35¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 27°C le 7 septembre ?2¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 28°C le 7 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 29°C le 7 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 30°C le 7 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 31°C le 7 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Istanbul sera-t-elle de 32°C ou plus le 7 septembre ?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and official observations indicate a peak temperature near 25–26°C in Istanbul today, driven by sunny skies under stable high pressure and moderate northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h that limit daytime heating. Current hourly data show temperatures climbing from morning lows near 21°C to afternoon maxima around 26°C, consistent with early September climatology and absent any anomalous warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 25°C and 35% for 26°C aligns with this consensus range, while lower odds for 27°C or higher account for minor model variability and potential slight under-forecasting in urban heat island effects. No major updates are expected before evening verification.