- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 92 et 93°F le 4 septembre ?20¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 94 et 95 °F le 4 septembre ?4¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 96 et 97°F le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 98 et 99°F le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Houston atteindra-t-elle 100°F ou plus le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle de 81°F ou moins le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 82 et 83 °F le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle entre 84 et 85°F le 4 septembre ?4¢
- La température la plus élevée à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 86 et 87°F le 4 septembre ?22¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 88 et 89°F le 4 septembre ?27¢
- La température maximale à Houston sera-t-elle comprise entre 90 et 91°F le 4 septembre ?20¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA guidance points to a humid air mass with light easterly flow and a 40-50% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms as the main influence on Houston’s September 4 maximum, supporting trader consensus around the upper 80s to low 90s. Model runs show modest spread in cloud cover and convective timing, which can suppress peak readings below 90 °F or permit brief clearing that pushes values into the low 90s. These factors explain the closely matched implied probabilities for 88–91 °F bins, while historical September averages near 91 °F provide context for the modest tail risk above 92 °F. Updated model outputs and afternoon observations will likely refine the exact high before resolution.