- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 15°C ou moins le 2 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 16°C le 2 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 17°C le 2 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée au Cap sera-t-elle de 18°C le 2 septembre ?6¢
- La température la plus élevée au Cap sera-t-elle de 19°C le 2 septembre ?51¢
- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 20°C le 2 septembre ?38¢
- La température la plus élevée au Cap sera-t-elle de 21°C le 2 septembre ?8¢
- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 22°C le 2 septembre ?1¢
- La température la plus élevée au Cap sera-t-elle de 23°C le 2 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 24°C le 2 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale au Cap sera-t-elle de 25°C ou plus le 2 septembre ?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the South African Weather Service and global ensembles indicates a mild spring day in Cape Town on September 2, with daytime maxima centered near 19°C under partly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds. These conditions suppress rapid warming while preventing significant cooling, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes of 19°C (50.5% implied probability) and 20°C (37.5%). Historical September averages near 18–20°C provide climatological support, and the absence of incoming warm northerly flow or clear-sky radiative heating keeps higher probabilities (21°C+) below 10%. Updated model runs overnight will refine the exact peak before resolution.