- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 22°C ou moins le 5 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 23°C le 5 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 24°C le 5 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 25°C le 5 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 26°C le 5 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 27°C le 5 septembre ?3¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 28°C le 5 septembre ?30¢
- La température la plus élevée à Ankara sera-t-elle de 29°C le 5 septembre ?59¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 30°C le 5 septembre ?10¢
- La température maximale à Ankara sera-t-elle de 31°C le 5 septembre ?2¢
- La température la plus élevée à Ankara sera-t-elle de 32°C ou plus le 5 septembre ?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models indicate stable high-pressure conditions over central Anatolia, supporting daytime highs of 28–30°C in Ankara on September 5 with minimal cloud cover and light northeasterly winds. Multiple model runs converge on a peak near 29°C as the most likely outcome under these clear, dry conditions typical of early September climatology, where historical averages hover around 26–28°C. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects trader alignment with this consensus, while lower odds for 31°C or higher account for residual model uncertainty and potential slight under-forecasting of insolation. Updated short-range guidance expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum.