- La température maximale à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 17°C ou moins le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 18°C le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 19°C le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température maximale à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 20°C le 4 septembre ?3¢
- La température maximale à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 21°C le 4 septembre ?49¢
- La température maximale à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 22°C le 4 septembre ?44¢
- La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 23°C le 4 septembre ?3¢
- La température maximale à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 24°C le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 25°C le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 26°C le 4 septembre ?<1¢
- La température la plus élevée à Amsterdam sera-t-elle de 27°C ou plus le 4 septembre ?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Amsterdam's September 4 maximum temperature centers on the latest model consensus showing a likely peak of 20–21°C under persistent cloud cover, widespread rain, and strong westerly winds near 20 m/s. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer scenarios, aligning with the near-even split between 21°C (49%) and 22°C (44%) implied odds. Minor model disagreements on the timing of any brief clearing or exact wind shift explain the slim edge for 21°C, while historical early-September averages near 20°C and official guidance from sources like the Met Office reinforce expectations of mild, unsettled weather rather than warmer outcomes. Updated runs ahead of resolution will clarify any small upward revisions.