- Pas de changement dans les taux d'intérêt de la Banque d'Angleterre après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?100¢100 %
- La Banque d'Angleterre augmente les taux d'intérêt de 25 points de base après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?0¢0 %
- La Banque d'Angleterre diminue les taux d'intérêt de 25 points de base après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?0¢0 %
- La Banque d'Angleterre augmente les taux d'intérêt de plus de 50 points de base après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?0¢0 %
- La Banque d'Angleterre diminue les taux d'intérêt de plus de 50 points de base après la réunion de septembre 2026 ?0¢0 %
The Bank of England’s September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee decision to hold Bank Rate steady at 3.75% reflected the dominant market-implied odds, driven by persistent Middle East conflict elevating energy prices and lifting August CPI to 3.1%, with forecasts now pointing to inflation exceeding 4% in early 2027. Despite upside risks to the inflation outlook and a 6-3 vote split—with three members favoring a 25-basis-point hike—the majority judged that limited pass-through to wages and broader prices, alongside prior financial tightening, justified maintaining the current stance. Trader consensus priced in this pause ahead of the November 5 meeting, though prolonged geopolitical volatility could still shift expectations toward earlier tightening.
Règles
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for September 17 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's September 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.