- Set 3 Winner: Medvedev vs Rinderknech64¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 10.550¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 3 Games O/U 9.550¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 4 Games O/U 8.550¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 36.555¢
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Rinderknech (+2.5)32¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 40.542¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 3 Games O/U 8.550¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 3 Games O/U 10.550¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 4 Games O/U 10.550¢
- Medvedev vs. Rinderknech: Set 2 Games O/U 8.550¢
- Game Spread: Medvedev (-4.5) vs Rinderknech (+4.5)53¢
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Daniil Medvedev enters the US Open 2026 third round on outdoor hard courts as the clear favorite against Arthur Rinderknech, backed by his No. 8 ranking, 2021 title at Flushing Meadows, and straight-set wins over Hugo Gaston and Sebastian Gorzny that have kept him set-free through two rounds. The Russian has a strong hard-court record and multiple deep US Open runs, giving traders confidence in his ability to control rallies and exploit return opportunities. Rinderknech, the No. 26 seed, has posted encouraging results including a four-set win over Sho Shimabukuro and a three-set victory over Jaume Munar, yet holds a 1-1 head-to-head split with Medvedev after a 2025 Shanghai win that followed his 2022 US Open loss. Recent form, experience at the event, and surface familiarity drive the market's implied probability heavily toward Medvedev advancing.