- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?1¢
- Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?<1¢
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?93¢
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?6¢
- Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?<1¢
- Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?<1¢
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?<1¢
- Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?<1¢
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Apple holds a commanding 93% implied probability of finishing August as the world's second-largest company by market capitalization, reflecting its current $4.53 trillion valuation that comfortably trails only NVIDIA while maintaining a clear lead over Alphabet. Recent trading data shows Apple benefiting from steady investor demand for its hardware ecosystem and services growth, even as AI infrastructure spending favors chipmakers at the top. With resolution just days away, the narrow window leaves little room for Alphabet or Microsoft to close the gap through earnings surprises or sector rotation. A sharp, unexpected selloff in Apple shares or outsized rally in Alphabet could theoretically alter the outcome, though historical volatility patterns near month-end make such shifts improbable.