- Mahahatulan ba si Zhang Youxia ng pagkakakulong bago mag-2027?9¢9%
Zhang Youxia, former vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission, was placed under investigation in January 2026, expelled from the Communist Party and military in September, and had the decision ratified at the Fifth Plenum in late October. His case was transferred to military prosecutors for review and prosecution on charges including factionalism, disloyalty, and large-scale graft. Comparable high-level PLA corruption cases have typically required 18–24 months from expulsion to a public military-court sentence, placing any verdict well after the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline. Zhang’s age and reported health concerns further align with precedents in which senior figures receive delayed or non-public handling. With only weeks remaining before the cutoff and no reported trial proceedings, traders assign a 91.5% probability that sentencing will not occur before 2027.
Mga panuntunan
Maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Oo" kung masentensiyahan ang Chinese General na si Zhang Youxia ng anumang tagal ng pagkakakulong para sa anumang kaso bago o pagsapit ng Disyembre 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Mananatiling bukas ang market na ito hanggang Disyembre 31, 2026 o hanggang masentensiyahan si Zhang Youxia ng pagkakakulong, kahit hindi kasama sa unang hatol ang pagkakakulong. Kabilang ang anumang sentensiya, anuman ang mga susunod na apela o pagbabago sa sentensiya. Ang pangunahing pagmumulan ng impormasyon para sa pagresolba ng market na ito ay ang opisyal na impormasyon mula sa pamahalaan ng China at mga tagapagpatupad ng batas; gayunman, maaari ring gamitin ang pinagkaisahang pag-uulat mula sa mga mapagkakatiwalaang sanggunian.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.