- Babae ba ang magiging nominado ng Democratic Party sa pagkapangulo sa 2028?30¢30%
Traders assign a 70.5% probability that the 2028 Democratic presidential nominee will be a man, driven by market pricing that favors several male governors and senators as stronger general-election contenders after the party's 2024 results. Gavin Newsom leads prediction markets near 17%, followed closely by Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Kamala Harris tops early national polls yet receives only single-digit market odds amid questions about her viability. Gretchen Whitmer has signaled she is unlikely to run, and Amy Klobuchar has ruled out a bid, narrowing the pool of prominent female options. The consensus reflects trader assessments of name recognition, fundraising networks, and swing-state appeal among leading male figures rather than current survey preferences.
Mga panuntunan
Maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Oo" kung ang taong mananalo at tatanggap sa nominasyon ng Democratic Party para sa pangulo ng U.S. sa 2028 ay isang babae. Kung hindi, maresolba ang market na ito bilang "Hindi". Ang magiging batayan sa pagresolba sa market na ito ay ang pinagkaisahan ng mga opisyal na sanggunian ng Democratic Party. Hindi mababago ng anumang pagpapalit sa nominado ng Democratic Party bago ang araw ng halalan ang resolusyon ng market.
Awtomatikong salin. Kapag may alitan, ang orihinal ang masusunod.